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ncaa bowl locks 2007/8
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| ncaa bowl locks 2007/8
- Click HERE to go to the original thread with graphics
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| LennyD23 |
| let's get this ball rolling. :tu: |
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| KingOfAllWhites |
The only lock I have right now is Oklahoma.
They are such a lock, that as soon as Dickriguez went to Michigan I took Oklahoma -7.
Oklahoma was going to be too powerful for them if Dickriguez stayed at WVU. Now with this bullshit, forget it. I know personally the team has already cancelled 2 practices and they are in shambles right now!
Take Oklahoma and lay the pts. It will be a double digit win for them. |
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| Kayotic1 |
| BYU -6 is my lock. UCLA is most likely going to be going with the 3rd string QB Omaar Rashaan due to injury. Head Coach was fired and this team was not looking to be in the Las Vegas bowl. Plus it will be almost all BYU fans at the stadium. Will almost be like a home game. |
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| footballjunkie |
| anyone get ferralls locks ? |
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| timdawg6 |
LSU LOCK IT UP.
Kentucky Lock it up |
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| Kayotic1 |
Quote: Originally posted by KingOfAllWhites
The only lock I have right now is Oklahoma.
They are such a lock, that as soon as Dickriguez went to Michigan I took Oklahoma -7.
Oklahoma was going to be too powerful for them if Dickriguez stayed at WVU. Now with this bullshit, forget it. I know personally the team has already cancelled 2 practices and they are in shambles right now!
Take Oklahoma and lay the pts. It will be a double digit win for them. |
I completely agree. I liked them before Rodriguez left. To me Oklahoma is the best team in the country. |
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| woogayo |
Quote: Originally posted by timdawg6
Kentucky Lock it up |
yup. and big. |
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| Kayotic1 |
Quote: Originally posted by timdawg6
LSU LOCK IT UP.
Kentucky Lock it up |
I would lay the 3 all day with Kentuky. Florida St has many suspensions coming. Something like 25 guys. Could be big names. Shit their is only 80 on the roster. |
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| Apoc13 |
i spend a lot of time of a sports simulation site...they played all the bowl games 1000 times and listed the avg score of each game...last year they were 88% straight up and 80% against the spread
florida was the biggest favorite winning by an average of 21 points |
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| A.Lang=Crazy |
| Depends what the Kentucky line is. They already took the game off the books and it might stay that way till we found out who got suspended. Games I like are Missouri and Texas Tech. |
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| Kayotic1 |
Quote: Originally posted by A.Lang=Crazy
Depends what the Kentucky line is. They already took the game off the books and it might stay that way till we found out who got suspended. Games I like are Missouri and Texas Tech. |
Game is still up at Pinnacle, CRIS and BODOG. They all have Kentucky -3. |
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| A.Lang=Crazy |
| They took it off on the books I use. I would put my maximum bet on Kentucky if I could. I liked them without the suspensions. Woodson will want to have a good game to boost his draft status and end his college career. |
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| timdawg6 |
Kayotic. Throw down a MAX Bet on Kentucky.
The line might drop down to +7 and play the middle, and play kentucky -3 |
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| Kayotic1 |
Quote: Originally posted by timdawg6
Kayotic. Throw down a MAX Bet on Kentucky.
The line might drop down to +7 and play the middle, and play kentucky -3 |
I wish I would have bet it when it was Kentucky -1 1/2. Would be looking at a nice middle. |
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| timdawg6 |
| -3 and -7 will be a nice middle |
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| vitalogist |
here are the locks from last night's show with scottie and al dimarco....
12/20 utah -8 over navy slight over 65.5
12/21 fla atl -3 over mem slight over 66
12/22 southern miss +11 over cincinnati strong over 55.5
12/22 nevada reno +3 over new mexico (moneyline) under 58
new mexico not won bowl in 46 years / RB gone
12/22 byu - 6 over ucla BARGAIN
hm game for byu 25k fans
12/23 boise -11 over east car take the over
12/26 cent mich +8 over purdue
12/27 az state +2.5 over texas take the over+++
12/28 mich st over BC outright well under 56
12/28 TCU -4 over houston under
12/28 ore st over maryland over 48 slight
12/29 wake -3 BIG TIME over uconn under 48
12/29 miss st over cent fla OUTRIGHT under 57 BIG TIME BARGAIN
12/29 penn st -5.5 over tex a&m
penn st 20-9-1 ATS BARGAIN
12/30 alabama -3.5 over colorado BIG TIME under
12/31 cal -3 over air force BARGAIN over
12/31 south fla -6.5 oregon slight under 52
12/31 fres st +6 over ga tech under
12/31 kent over fla st
12/31 ok st -4 indiana BARGAIN under 69
12/31 auburn +3 over clemson outright under 47
suspended a bunch of clemson tigers
1/1 tenn -3 over wisc over
1/1 mizzou -3.5 over ark BARGAIN over
1/1 mich / fla
1/1 texas tech -6 over virginia over
1/1 usc -14 over illinois over 50 BARGAIN
1/1 georgia -8 hawaii (don't play it) over BARGAIN
1/2 okla -8 over west va over
1/3 va tech -3.5 over kansas slight under
1/5 ball st +10 over rutgers (don't play it) over 60.5
1/6 tulsa -4.5 over bowling green over
1/7 LSU over ohio st BARGAIN under 49.5 |
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| LennyD23 |
Quote: Originally posted by vitalogist
here are the locks from last night's show with scottie and al dimarco....
12/20 utah -8 over navy slight over 65.5
12/21 fla atl -3 over mem slight over 66
12/22 southern miss +11 over cincinnati strong over 55.5
12/22 nevada reno +3 over new mexico (moneyline) under 58
new mexico not won bowl in 46 years / RB gone
12/22 byu - 6 over ucla BARGAIN
hm game for byu 25k fans
12/23 boise -11 over east car take the over
12/26 cent mich +8 over purdue
12/27 az state +2.5 over texas take the over+++
12/28 mich st over BC outright well under 56
12/28 TCU -4 over houston under
12/28 ore st over maryland over 48 slight
12/29 wake -3 BIG TIME over uconn under 48
12/29 miss st over cent fla OUTRIGHT under 57 BIG TIME BARGAIN
12/29 penn st -5.5 over tex a&m
penn st 20-9-1 ATS BARGAIN
12/30 alabama -3.5 over colorado BIG TIME under
12/31 cal -3 over air force BARGAIN over
12/31 south fla -6.5 oregon slight under 52
12/31 fres st +6 over ga tech under
12/31 kent over fla st
12/31 ok st -4 indiana BARGAIN under 69
12/31 auburn +3 over clemson outright under 47
suspended a bunch of clemson tigers
1/1 tenn -3 over wisc over
1/1 mizzou -3.5 over ark BARGAIN over
1/1 mich / fla
1/1 texas tech -6 over virginia over
1/1 usc -14 over illinois over 50 BARGAIN
1/1 georgia -8 hawaii (don't play it) over BARGAIN
1/2 okla -8 over west va over
1/3 va tech -3.5 over kansas slight under
1/5 ball st +10 over rutgers (don't play it) over 60.5
1/6 tulsa -4.5 over bowling green over
1/7 LSU over ohio st BARGAIN under 49.5 |
dude, i love this!!!! i missed this part of the show, but recorded it. this shit was awesome... |
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| LennyD23 |
| i will post vs. spread in bowl history, vs. spread as road dog, and any common opponent info shortly. |
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| LennyD23 |
| i have nothing to add to that list. that's the same shit and notes i was gonna post. nice work vitalogist :bigup: |
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| LennyD23 |
ah ha!! michigan florida...
scottie and al say florida all the way.
Team records:
Michigan: 8-4 SU, 6-5 ATS
Florida: 9-3 SU, 8-3 ATS
Michigan most recently:
When playing in January are 5-5
When playing on grass are 7-3
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing outside the conference are 6-4
Florida most recently:
When playing in January are 6-4
When playing on grass are 7-3
After outgaining opponent are 9-1
When playing outside the conference are 10-0
A few trends to consider:
Michigan is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
Michigan is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Florida is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Florida's last 7 games
Florida is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games |
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| KingOfAllWhites |
| fuck michigan!! :mad: |
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| Dave Matthews |
Quote: Originally posted by KingOfAllWhites
fuck michigan!! :mad: |
:bigup: |
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| Dave Matthews |
| nice call on Utah Scotty :mad: |
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| Apoc13 |
Quote: Originally posted by Apoc13
i spend a lot of time of a sports simulation site...they played all the bowl games 1000 times and listed the avg score of each game...last year they were 88% straight up and 80% against the spread
florida was the biggest favorite winning by an average of 21 points |
my site predicted utah would win 30-27...they're one for one and damn close on the score |
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| KingOfAllWhites |
| so whats the call for tonight?fau? |
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| Apoc13 |
Quote: Originally posted by KingOfAllWhites
so whats the call for tonight?fau? |
they're calling fau 38-24 |
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| Apoc13 |
| if you look at the yahoo numbers 67% are taking memphis...and the yahoo expert (bob in the mailroom?) is taking memphis...this will be a good test |
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| mah924 |
Quote: Originally posted by Dave Matthews
nice call on Utah Scotty :mad: |
on scottferrall.com it says he picked navy and is 1-0 for the bowl games |
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| KingOfAllWhites |
| I am riding the over tonight! |
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| Apoc13 |
Quote: Originally posted by KingOfAllWhites
I am riding the over tonight! |
looking good at the half |
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| KingOfAllWhites |
| as good as it could look :cool: |
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| A.Lang=Crazy |
Hit FAU and the over needed that after the back door cover the night before.
BYU is my lock tonight. |
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| Apoc13 |
it's early but my site is 2 for 2 and got the scores almost right on the money... 4 for 4 with the o/u
cin 34 so miss 18....this will be the test, scotty has so miss and the over
byu 31 ucla 20
nev 30 nm 23 |
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| LennyD23 |
| scottie doesn't list his locks on his site... wtf |
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| KingOfAllWhites |
| I am on Cinci and BYU today! |
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| LennyD23 |
| i think you lost both, whites. |
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| LennyD23 |
Quote: Originally posted by Apoc13
it's early but my site is 2 for 2 and got the scores almost right on the money... 4 for 4 with the o/u
cin 34 so miss 18....this will be the test, scotty has so miss and the over
byu 31 ucla 20
nev 30 nm 23 |
got the NM score right. |
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| LennyD23 |
boise -11??? in a beat down???
yea, they've played here before (hawaii) the only thing i like here is the over @ 67. |
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| KingOfAllWhites |
| I think I am laying off the game tonight! |
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| LennyD23 |
:jj:
do you bet online or use a bookie? |
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| KingOfAllWhites |
bookie....But he runs it thru a website.
So I make the picks online, then meet him weekly to pay/be paid. |
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| LennyD23 |
| yea, well, either way i wouldn't touch this game either if i was a betting man. double digits, in hawaii? who knows what's gonna happen out there? if i had to, i'd take this over. |
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| ASU Sun Devil |
I've gotta pop in here while I have the time and get some Sun Devil Karma for the Holiday Bowl. I have a gut feeling that "Hook 'Em" will prevail, but gorgeous cheerleader Lauren Thompson says "Fork 'Em!"...
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| Apoc13 |
Quote: Originally posted by LennyD23
got the NM score right. |
i knew it was too good to be true |
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| LennyD23 |
Quote: Originally posted by Apoc13
i knew it was too good to be true |
i bought everybody's analysis on that one, all the way. it made total sense.
guess they were due. |
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| LennyD23 |
hey ASU, that chick is fucking samokin.
if i was a bettin man, i woulda hit the over last night and not picked the winner. maybe i should start gambling.
is this how it starts? |
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| KingOfAllWhites |
| I am on semi gambling retirement.... |
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| A.Lang=Crazy |
| Done betting these shit bowl games. Just going to wait till I know some actual players on these teams. |
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| LennyD23 |
| CMU bts, game went over. |
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| A.Lang=Crazy |
| Got ASU and the over tonight. |
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| I-90 |
| scottie picked the under of the liberty bowl, and it went under, waaaay under. |
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| I-90 |
Quote: Originally posted by Ferrall
12/29 miss st over cent fla OUTRIGHT under 57 BIG TIME BARGAIN |
fuck, i need to man up and place some bets. this was a no brainer. guess hindsight is 20/20. |
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| I-90 |
PSU won ANOTHER fucking bowl??? god dammit!!! did they cover?
anybody got a site that posts old spreads? i don't got a paper in front of me. |
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| I-90 |
ok, caught bodog, psu layed 6, covered. another under.
anybody notice a trend here? a lot of early games were over, now we're getting a few unders. |
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| I-90 |
| holy shit, i could easily run some binary type, logistic regressions to get a few trends and support an assertion like this... does anybody that gambles scientifically win? ever? all the gamblers i know lose. |
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| vitalogist |
well i know i'm jinxing them at this point, but as of tonight, pending the outcome of the alabama / colorado game, these totals and spread locks are a whopping
16-7
wow. al dimarco has made me some dough this month. lets hope they stay good for the 31st and 1st......
does anyone remember the site dimarco was representing?
Quote: Originally posted by vitalogist
here are the locks from last night's show with scottie and al dimarco....
12/20 utah -8 over navy slight over 65.5
12/21 fla atl -3 over mem slight over 66
12/22 southern miss +11 over cincinnati strong over 55.5
12/22 nevada reno +3 over new mexico (moneyline) under 58
new mexico not won bowl in 46 years / RB gone
12/22 byu - 6 over ucla BARGAIN
hm game for byu 25k fans
12/23 boise -11 over east car take the over
12/26 cent mich +8 over purdue
12/27 az state +2.5 over texas take the over+++
12/28 mich st over BC outright well under 56
12/28 TCU -4 over houston under
12/28 ore st over maryland over 48 slight
12/29 wake -3 BIG TIME over uconn under 48
12/29 miss st over cent fla OUTRIGHT under 57 BIG TIME BARGAIN
12/29 penn st -5.5 over tex a&m
penn st 20-9-1 ATS BARGAIN
12/30 alabama -3.5 over colorado BIG TIME under
12/31 cal -3 over air force BARGAIN over
12/31 south fla -6.5 oregon slight under 52
12/31 fres st +6 over ga tech under
12/31 kent over fla st
12/31 ok st -4 indiana BARGAIN under 69
12/31 auburn +3 over clemson outright under 47
suspended a bunch of clemson tigers
1/1 tenn -3 over wisc over
1/1 mizzou -3.5 over ark BARGAIN over
1/1 mich / fla
1/1 texas tech -6 over virginia over
1/1 usc -14 over illinois over 50 BARGAIN
1/1 georgia -8 hawaii (don't play it) over BARGAIN
1/2 okla -8 over west va over
1/3 va tech -3.5 over kansas slight under
1/5 ball st +10 over rutgers (don't play it) over 60.5
1/6 tulsa -4.5 over bowling green over
1/7 LSU over ohio st BARGAIN under 49.5 |
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| vitalogist |
update following usc / ill
28-15
i just put a shitload of dough on hawaii / georgia over 68. this is gonna be fun |
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| flinch |
| What is the dont play it mean? |
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| vitalogist |
| dimarco answered scottie when he asked who he would play in this game if he had a gun held to his head. he said he wouldn't touch this line with a ten foot pole, but to play the over instead.... |
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| LennyD23 |
so, i was locked up for a little bit and it's fucked up my ability to monitor this thread.
tonight, scottie said there was a problem with him posting his locks on his website... uh, ya think?
that site is a barren wasteland, i don't even bother to check for locks there.
vitalogist basically made the most official scottie falocks post you can get. |
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| KingOfAllWhites |
Glad I put my entire $1,000,000 fortune on the WVU ML...
Arent you guys all glad I told you to bet the WVU ML :D |
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| timdawg6 |
Quote: Originally posted by LennyD23
so, i was locked up for a little bit and it's fucked up my ability to monitor this thread.
tonight, scottie said there was a problem with him posting his locks on his website... uh, ya think?
that site is a barren wasteland, i don't even bother to check for locks there.
vitalogist basically made the most official scottie falocks post you can get. |
Glad you see you out of the big house Little Homey |
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| I-90 |
Quote: Originally posted by KingOfAllWhites
Glad I put my entire $1,000,000 fortune on the WVU ML...
Arent you guys all glad I told you to bet the WVU ML :D |
i'm glad i don't bet. |
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| LennyD23 |
wvu looks like they looked when they came out against georgia a few years ago.
they can beat these perennials and are never afraid in bowl games. |
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| KingOfAllWhites |
| if dick rod would have quit before the pitt game, we would be playing on Monday night :rolleyes: |
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| LennyD23 |
| they're running circles around them. |
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| LennyD23 |
Quote: Originally posted by KingOfAllWhites
if dick rod would have quit before the pitt game, we would be playing on Monday night :rolleyes: |
could've been playing for the NC. :notgood:
fucking unbelievable. |
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| LennyD23 |
| what do you think about this guy being your permanent head coach? |
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| KingOfAllWhites |
Quote: Originally posted by LennyD23
what do you think about this guy being your permanent head coach? |
great great coach but it will not happen.
I do not think he can recruit and keep it up. He has been at WVU for decades. He coached under Nehlen and was retained by Dick Rod. I would love for him to stay though, as an coach. The kids love and respect him and what he is doing today is phenomental.
WVU needs a legit coach though. |
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| Psauer915 |
| Whats everyones thoughts on thursdays bowl game??? Virginia Tech vs Kansas???? Im kinda leaning on Va Tech -4......... |
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| Psauer915 |
Va Tech -4 Loser........Damn
So what does everyone think about the sat bowl game rutgers and ball st........ Im going all out on the pts and taking ball st +11.5 |
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| I-90 |
Quote: Originally posted by KingOfAllWhites
great great coach but it will not happen.
I do not think he can recruit and keep it up. He has been at WVU for decades. He coached under Nehlen and was retained by Dick Rod. I would love for him to stay though, as an coach. The kids love and respect him and what he is doing today is phenomental.
WVU needs a legit coach though. |
Not gonna happen, eh? :p |
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| I-90 |
Quote: Originally posted by Psauer915
Va Tech -4 Loser........Damn
So what does everyone think about the sat bowl game rutgers and ball st........ Im going all out on the pts and taking ball st +11.5 |
I wouldn't touch this one at all.
Scottie says do not play. 60 is a little high for O/U. |
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| vitalogist |
big BIG thanks to al dimarco. these picks went a phenomenal 32-18-2 for 64% . This number will rise if BGSU / tulsa can muster a couple more scores.... not to mention the big one tomorrow.
Dimarco said lay the 4.5 and take LSU and the under FWIW.
if you took the "bargains," USC, mizzou, ok state, cal, alabama, penn state, wake, etc (only bargains that didnt pay were hawaii o/u and ucla) and put a little extra juice on those, then your account is a little extra happy.
i know it gave me the ability to drop a little extra on the nfl this weekend. I was able to to go 4-0 on the weekend in the NFL, hitting all four games ATS. It has been a happy bowl season for me.
good luck to everyone tomorrow..... |
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